Prediction of Philip Henning vs Filiberto Fumagalli at M15 Sharm ElSheikh 12-10-25

• In the last six months, Philip Henning has slightly edged out Filiberto Fumagalli, winning 40.32% of second serve points compared to Fumagalli's 40.11%.
• Henning is more effective at returning second serves, winning 44.04% of them, while Fumagalli manages 42.55%.
• Conversely, Fumagalli exhibits a stronger first serve return game, securing 32.33% of points compared to Henning's 27.82%.
• Henning proves more resolute under pressure, saving 50.32% of breakpoints, where Fumagalli saves 45.95%.
• Within the last year, Henning shows superior match performance, winning 75% of matches, while Fumagalli wins 61.11%.
• Both players excel on hard surfaces with an 80% win rate. However, Henning struggles slightly on indoor hard courts with a 56% win rate, whereas Fumagalli has yet to win on this surface.
• Henning has demonstrated greater dominance in $10K tournaments, winning 84.44% of matches, whereas Fumagalli's win rate is at 61.11%.
• Fumagalli competes against higher-ranked opponents on average, with an opponent rank of 198.69, compared to Henning's 405.77.
• If a decider is necessary, Henning notably excels, winning 68% of deciding sets in the past year, while Fumagalli has won just 25%.
• Fumagalli shows a higher break point conversion rate at 39.13%, surpassing Henning’s 31.82% efficiency.

Editorial Prediction (December 9, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent statistics, both Philip Henning and Filiberto Fumagalli have strengths that could tilt the match in their favor. Henning shows a marginal advantage in second serve points and returns, signaling potential superiority in baseline rallies. Conversely, Fumagalli outperforms in first serve returns and break point conversions, essential elements for gaining critical breakthroughs.

Henning's superior ability to handle pressure and excel in deciding sets is also noteworthy, potentially giving him a psychological edge. Though Fumagalli competes against higher-ranked players, Henning's success rate on familiar court surfaces and tournaments positions him advantageously.

With Henning's consistent performance metrics across various areas, he emerges as the more likely candidate to secure victory in this upcoming match.